TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets allows participants to wager on the total combined points both teams score during the first quarter of the game. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by the sum of both teams' scores, determines the market outcome.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both teams in the first quarter exceed specified thresholds. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and each threshold has its own 'Yes' or 'No' resolution depending on the actual total points scored. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, particularly when significant information isn’t widely known. However, it’s common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updated with the latest information and insights from participants.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Patriots-Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed. The final score will determine which outcome pays out.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. As the game draws closer, even minor updates can lead to shifts in the market as traders react to new information and refine their predictions.