TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots during the first quarter. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will dominate the other by a certain margin in that quarter alone.
The markets resolve based on whether the Seattle Seahawks or New England Patriots win the first quarter by exceeding specific point differentials. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these markets. If the winning team's point margin exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each threshold represents a different margin of victory that determines the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws closer. Keep in mind that these are different ways of assessing probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome, scaled to a price between 0 and 100. Buyers are expressing a belief that the outcome is *more* likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it is *less* likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the expected spread.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first quarter spread as determined by official league sources. Once the official result is available, Kalshi will verify the outcome and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of the contract at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Patriots or the Seahawks would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.