TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks which team—the New England Patriots or the Seattle Seahawks—will be winning after the first half of their upcoming pro football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to New England winning the first half, with Seattle at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the first half of the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the first half on September 9, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of September 10, 2026.
The market determines the outcome of the first half of the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks game scheduled for September 9, 2026, with three possible resolutions: Seattle winning the first half, New England winning the first half, or a tie. For each outcome, the respective market resolves to 'Yes' if that condition is met. Points scored exclusively during the first half determine the winner, and if both teams finish the half with equal points, the tie market resolves to 'Yes' while both team-specific markets resolve to 'No'. The rules clarify that only first-half points count, and the market is independent of any official league affiliations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, you’ll find prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from what this market indicates, presenting potential arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the first half. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to assess the available liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Patriots-Seahawks game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. The platform will then process the results and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event timeline to understand when the outcome will be finalized.
Several factors could significantly influence the Patriots-Seahawks first half market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant news or analysis released by sports analysts or experts could sway public opinion and affect the market price. Finally, large volume trades from sophisticated market participants could indicate informed bets and trigger further price movements.