TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on different scoring thresholds being met or exceeded.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game between the NE Patriots and JAC Jaguars scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the team achieves the stated point total or higher, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, offering multiple opportunities to assess different levels of scoring performance. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event draws closer and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though they are generated by a different mechanism than this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total—the combined score of the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars—will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the actual combined team total is equal to or less than the highest contract price, and to 0 if the actual combined team total is greater than the lowest contract price. All outcomes between 0 and 100 will be determined by the proportion of the market that matches the final team total.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Jaguars would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.