TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars: 4th Quarter Total
kalshi

What is the result of NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars?

Volume:
$12,699

Over 6.5 4Q points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 6.5 4Q points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 6.5 4Q points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
$1,214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 4Q points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 4Q points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
$1,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 10.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
$2,402
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 14.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,098
N/A
N/A
$1,786
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 13.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,725
N/A
N/A
$1,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 17.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$554
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 20.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$460
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 21.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$329
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 24.5 4Q points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets evaluate how many points the New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars will score together in the final quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to meet or exceed, providing various perspectives on the potential scoring intensity in the last quarter.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the designated game, with overtime points excluded. Each market features a distinct numerical threshold—ranging from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points—that determines whether the outcome is 'Yes' (if the total exceeds the threshold) or 'No' (if it does not). The resolution hinges solely on the actual game score during regulation 4th quarter play, without considering any additional periods. All markets share identical secondary conditions but vary only in their point thresholds, allowing participants to assess different levels of scoring likelihood.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the game progresses, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially closer to the event, as traders adjust their positions based on new data. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome, influencing the price movements. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time probability assessment.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Patriots-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the total points scored will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade. The platform will verify the data and distribute payouts accordingly following the conclusion of the game.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Patriots or Jaguars, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive players, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect scoring potential and shift market sentiment. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant team adjustments could also influence trading activity. Finally, as the game progresses and early scoring trends emerge, the market will react rapidly to the unfolding events, leading to substantial price movements.