TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the third quarter, with no points from other quarters contributing to the outcome. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of offensive performance in that specific quarter. The resolution of each market depends solely on the total points accumulated by both teams during the third quarter, irrespective of the final game result or points scored in other quarters.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, however, allows individuals to trade on their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on collective insight, sometimes converging with sportsbook odds as game day approaches, and sometimes diverging significantly.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 3rd quarter of the Patriots-Jaguars game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of 'yes' (over 20.5 points) or 'no' (20.5 points or under). The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis and expert predictions, especially if they deviate from the current market consensus, could sway traders' opinions. Finally, early game performance in the first and second quarters could lead to adjustments in expectations for the 3rd quarter point total.