TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between two professional teams. The outcome depends solely on the performance during that quarter, independent of the overall game result.
If Jacksonville wins the 2nd Quarter of the NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New England wins the 2nd Quarter of the NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of individuals actively trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or the influence of public sentiment. It's common to see prediction markets reacting more quickly to news or developments that might impact the game's outcome, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the second quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current market price represents the aggregated assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars game will be declared the winner. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning team. Traders who correctly predicted the second quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Jaguars would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift market sentiment. Finally, as kickoff approaches, even minor updates or rumors circulating on social media or sports news outlets could trigger movements in the odds on Kalshi as traders react to the latest information.