TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second quarter of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any given market, if the total points scored by both teams in the second quarter surpass the market's specified threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, if the combined points do not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets exclusively consider points scored during the second quarter of play, with no points from other quarters contributing to the outcome. The markets are independent, and each threshold provides a unique resolution criterion, allowing for varied predictions of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and more traders participate. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected event probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders enter the market, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential score.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the 2nd quarter of the game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of the 'over' or 'under' outcome. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis or expert predictions that gain traction could influence the perceived probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market as traders react to the latest information.