TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the second half of a football game, including any overtime periods. Each threshold represents a specific level of scoring intensity that determines the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, specified as 'Over X.5 points scored.' If the combined second-half points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second half and overtime of the specified game, with no impact from the first half's scoring. The thresholds range incrementally from 3.5 to 42.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring output. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, and those differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Patriots-Jaguars game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold established by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi.