TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will dominate the second half of a football game by a specific margin. Outcomes depend solely on the point differential after the intermission, ignoring the first half's performance.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the designated NE Patriots vs JAC Jaguars game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market rule. Only points scored from the start of the third quarter through the end of regulation or overtime are considered; first-half performance is irrelevant. All markets operate independently, with each defining a unique threshold for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or other factors influencing the game. It's common to see this market incorporate information and adjust more quickly to new developments than sportsbook odds, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Patriots-Jaguars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as determined by the NFL. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting payouts following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or team strategies could shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and drive price fluctuations in this market.