TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will lead by a specific margin at halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between the NE Patriots and JAC Jaguars during the first half of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point spread. Only points scored in the first half are considered; the final score or any overtime periods are irrelevant. Each market corresponds to a unique point spread threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 13.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance required for resolution. The markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific criteria.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts, though the degree of divergence can vary significantly depending on the event and the level of attention it receives. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half spread of the New England Patriots versus Jacksonville Jaguars game, as determined by official league results. The market will reflect whether the Jaguars won the first half by more than the spread indicated by the purchased contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially known and verified, and contract holders will be paid out accordingly based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Patriots or Jaguars would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or developments related to team strategies or player availability could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market.