TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 3:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of NC State and Vanderbilt in an upcoming college football game, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns each team scores. The outcome depends entirely on the game's final score and does not consider other factors like field goals or extra points.
All markets resolve based on the official number of touchdowns scored by each team during the NC State vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026, including any touchdowns scored in overtime. Successful two-point conversions, whether in regulation or overtime, do not count toward the touchdown totals. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for each team (e.g., Vanderbilt 3+, NC State 2+, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the team's total touchdowns meet or exceed that threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific touchdown total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of conviction behind each possible result. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team touchdown totals for both NC State and Vanderbilt are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the total touchdowns scored by each team will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor the game and official sources as the event unfolds to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the game. News regarding key player injuries for either NC State or Vanderbilt would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting offensive performance, could also move the market. In-game developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will rapidly adjust the probabilities as traders react to the unfolding action. Any significant updates or announcements related to team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.