TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential specifically within the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the NC St. vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation or endorsement exists between Kalshi and the NCAA; all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the spread, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the NC State vs Vanderbilt game. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available data to determine which contracts payout. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the NC State vs Vanderbilt spread market. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any major changes in team strategy or coaching decisions. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Public perception, driven by news reports and social media, can also play a role, especially as the game approaches. Any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also impact trading activity.