TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either NC State or Vanderbilt in the first half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the first half to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the NC State vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For any market where the specified point differential is met or exceeded by the winning team in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Frequently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. These differences can stem from varying information sources, differing levels of expertise among bettors, and the unique dynamics of each market. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that spread occurring in the first half of the game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the game's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half result of the NC State vs Vanderbilt game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved during the first half of the game. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially determined and reported.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the NC State or Vanderbilt teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or starting lineups, as well as any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal issues, could all contribute to shifts in the market’s assessment of the likely spread.