TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 8:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the run differential in a Korea KBO baseball game between the NC Dinos and SSG Landers scheduled for July 25, 2026. Bettors wager on whether one team will win by a specific margin, with separate outcomes for each team winning by varying run differentials.
Resolution depends on the final run differential in the NC Dinos vs SSG Landers Korea KBO game scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The market offers four distinct outcomes based on which team wins and by how much: SSG Landers winning by more than 2.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by more than 1.5 runs, NC Dinos winning by more than 1.5 runs, or NC Dinos winning by more than 2.5 runs. Each outcome resolves independently to Yes if the specified condition is met, or No otherwise. The final official game score determines the winning margin and all resolutions.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on complex modeling and risk management, prediction market odds capture the collective wisdom of traders who actively buy and sell contracts. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger discrepancies, depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-specific developments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking of contracts representing possible point differentials. The current top outcome reflects the most likely spread as assessed by market participants, with liquidity indicated by the volume of $7,731. Prices adjust constantly based on new information, trading activity, and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the official game result determines which side of the market is settled, and contracts are paid out accordingly based on that verified difference.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, weather conditions on game day, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. Any news that impacts the perceived competitive balance — such as a star player being ruled out or a surprise lineup change — may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds in response to new expectations for the final spread.