TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the NC Dinos and the Lotte Giants, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team secures a lead exceeding specific run thresholds. The result depends entirely on the final score of the match as played.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the NC Dinos vs Lotte Giants Korea KBO game originally scheduled for September 18, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: the Lotte Giants winning by more than 2.5 runs, the Lotte Giants winning by more than 1.5 runs, the NC Dinos winning by more than 1.5 runs, and the NC Dinos winning by more than 2.5 runs. If the actual result matches any of these conditions, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The event is independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price. It's important to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information or varying risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the NC Dinos versus Lotte Giants spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final result. The spread represents the number of runs by which the Dinos are favored to win; the price indicates the probability of that spread occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the NC Dinos versus Lotte Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual run differential between the two teams at the end of the game. The market will settle to 100 if the Dinos win by more than the spread, 0 if they lose or win by less than the spread. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the NC Dinos or the Lotte Giants would likely cause movement. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, potentially affecting scoring. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team could also shift expectations and alter the market price.