TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the NC Dinos and the LG Twins, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The event is based on a scheduled game in the Korea KBO league, with results determined by the final score.
The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different run-margin thresholds for either the NC Dinos or LG Twins to win the game scheduled for August 27, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score of the game as officially recorded by the Korea KBO. If the LG Twins win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the LG Twins win by more than 1.5 runs (but not exceeding 2.5 runs), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the NC Dinos win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, meaning a single game outcome can resolve multiple markets differently depending on the exact run differential. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid shifts in perception, especially around key performances or injuries leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score after all regulation time and any relevant tie-breaking procedures have concluded, aligning with standard sports reporting sources.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or sudden changes in team performance can all shift this market. Additionally, pre-game analyses, betting trends, and any last-minute roster updates may influence trader sentiment. Keeping an eye on official team announcements and expert commentary will help you anticipate possible movements in the odds as the event draws near.