TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the NC Dinos and KT Wiz. The outcomes depend on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for participants to evaluate.
The markets resolve based on whether the total runs scored by both the NC Dinos and KT Wiz in their KBO game scheduled for September 23, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the outcome determined solely by the cumulative runs across all innings of the game. All markets are independent, and Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, with all trademarks and brand names remaining the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. This can lead to differences, as the collective wisdom of traders may identify mispricings that sportsbooks haven’t yet accounted for. It’s common to see this market’s implied probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the NC Dinos versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of the line established in this market. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the NC Dinos or the KT Wiz would likely cause movement. Weather conditions at the game location are also a significant factor, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups and recent team performance could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also drive price fluctuations in this market.