TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams in a single match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by NC Dinos and Kiwoom Heroes in their college baseball game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets refer to the same game, originally set for 4:00 AM EDT on the specified date. If the actual total runs meet or surpass any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities may arise for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 9.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe the total will be over 9.5, the price of 'over' contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective prediction of all participants trading in this market, and it’s a dynamic indicator of expectations for the game’s final score.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the NC Dinos versus Kiwoom Heroes game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of runs scored by both teams will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether that total is over or under 9.5 runs. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning side of this market, and the results will be publicly available following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the NC Dinos or the Kiwoom Heroes could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions at the game location are also a major factor, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Furthermore, the performance of the starting pitchers and any in-game tactical decisions made by the managers could all contribute to movements in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.