TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:40 AM EST
Kalshi
In this late-night Korean league game, the focus is on whether either team can score during the first inning. The outcome measures the immediate offensive success of both sides.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the NC Dinos vs Kiwoom Heroes professional Korea KBO baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value and potential outcomes of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a run being scored in the first inning. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more people buy contracts predicting a run, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the NC Dinos versus Kiwoom Heroes game.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a run is scored in the first inning of the scheduled game between the NC Dinos and Kiwoom Heroes. Official game statistics will be used to determine if a run was scored, and this information will be used to settle all outstanding contracts in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as rain delays or strong winds can affect scoring. Additionally, late-breaking news about key players’ form or lineup changes could shift expectations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment.