TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria for the market.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by NC Dinos and Kia Tigers in their college baseball game scheduled for September 10, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that level. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and none influence the others. The game must occur as originally scheduled; any rescheduling or cancellation will affect resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be Over or Under 9.5. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the game's potential scoring. This creates a real-time probability assessment based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the NC Dinos versus Kia Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored in the official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total exceeds 9.5 runs or remains below that threshold. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the NC Dinos or the Kia Tigers would likely have an impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as rain or wind can affect scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from baseball experts or shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to movement in this market, reflecting evolving expectations about the total runs scored.