TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 11:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the NC Dinos and the Doosan Bears, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many runs separate the winning and losing teams at the end of the scheduled match. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple possible winning margins in the NC Dinos vs Doosan Bears Korea KBO game scheduled for August 5, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered based on whether the Doosan Bears or NC Dinos win, and by how many runs—the thresholds being either over 1.5 or over 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by the required margin, and 'No' otherwise. All markets are independent, meaning each has its own resolution criteria. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp and public money, sometimes showing tighter spreads or different favorites compared to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may incorporate house edges and broader public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook, potentially creating price differences that can be exploited or monitored for shifts in perceived team strength.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent the possible point differentials. The current implied chance of each outcome — shown as a percentage — reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting continuously with new information, trading volume of $260, and game-specific developments.
This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the game will determine which side of the market is settled as the winner, based on the official league result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and strategic decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for the point differential and move this market. Additionally, any significant changes in team performance leading up to the game — such as dominant recent wins or losses — may cause traders to adjust their positions, influencing the odds on Kalshi as Aug 5, 2026 approaches.