TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams competing in a recognized league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. In the event of a tie, the outcome is split evenly between possible results.
The event resolves based on the winner of the NC Dinos vs Doosan Bears Korea KBO game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market will close after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve at a 50/50 split. The markets resolve to Yes for the respective team if they win the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants influencing the price. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though sportsbook odds offer a useful point of comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe the NC Dinos will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the KBO championship.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the KBO championship series between the NC Dinos and the Doosan Bears. The winning team, as determined by the KBO league standings and playoff results, will be the outcome reflected in the market's resolution. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or suspensions on either the NC Dinos or the Doosan Bears would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding pitching rotations or strategic decisions by team management could also influence trading activity. Finally, any significant external events impacting the KBO league, such as weather delays or rule changes, could introduce volatility and move the market before Sep 13, 2026.