TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 7M
- Kalshi
Above 7M - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist's YouTube views over a specific week. It focuses on whether the artist achieves certain view count thresholds on a global scale during the designated period. The outcome depends on the highest daily view count reached, with various thresholds defined for resolution.
Kalshi
The event determines whether NBA YoungBoy achieves specified global daily YouTube view count thresholds during the week of September 7–13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist's global daily views must surpass the respective threshold at any point during the specified week. View counts will be assessed using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location filter. All markets are independent, and achieving a lower threshold does not automatically satisfy higher ones. The event explicitly states that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event operator.
Frequently asked questions
It's often interesting to see how prediction market prices align with expert opinions. Currently, there is no readily available consensus among music industry analysts regarding NBA YoungBoy's expected viewership during the specified timeframe. However, this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs, potentially revealing insights different from those offered by individual forecasts. If analysts predict a higher or lower view count than what’s priced into this market, we might see traders adjusting their positions accordingly, driving price changes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe NBA YoungBoy will exceed a certain view count, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by NBA YoungBoy across all major video platforms—such as YouTube and Twitch—between September 7, 2026, and September 13, 2026. The data will be sourced from publicly available analytics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any major announcements regarding NBA YoungBoy’s new music releases, collaborations, or promotional activities would likely impact viewership. Unexpected controversies or positive media coverage could also shift public attention. Furthermore, changes in the algorithms of major video platforms or the emergence of competing artists could affect his view counts. Overall, any news or event that alters public perception of NBA YoungBoy’s popularity has the potential to move this market.
