TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist on a major video platform over a specific week. It focuses on whether the artist's content achieves certain levels of global daily viewership during the defined period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether NBA YoungBoy attains specified thresholds of global daily views on YouTube within the period from September 28, 2026, to October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count milestone, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist's global daily views must exceed the respective threshold at any point during the specified week. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location filter. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for NBA YoungBoy’s daily view counts. Unlike traditional polls or expert opinions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a diverse range of perspectives and information. While analysts might offer predictions based on past performance or social media trends, this market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing expectations as traders buy and sell contracts. Therefore, this market represents a forward-looking assessment of probability, potentially differing from static analyst reports.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts. Each contract represents a potential outcome – in this case, a specific daily view count for NBA YoungBoy. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the most likely scenario. The current top outcome is unavailable, and the chance percentage is also unavailable.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by NBA YoungBoy across all major video platforms (e.g., YouTube, TikTok) between September 28, 2026, and October 4, 2026. The specific view count data will be sourced from publicly available analytics and verified for accuracy. The outcome will be the highest confirmed daily view count during that period, as reported by these sources.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements regarding new music releases, album drops, or collaborations by NBA YoungBoy would likely impact his viewership. Increased media coverage, viral social media trends, or controversies surrounding the artist could also drive significant changes in the market. Furthermore, shifts in the popularity of the platforms where his content is hosted (YouTube, TikTok, etc.) or changes in algorithmic recommendations could influence his daily view counts and, consequently, the prices in this market. Unexpected events impacting his personal life could also create volatility.
