TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 7M
- Kalshi
Above 7M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 20, 1:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist's YouTube views over a specific week, focusing on whether their daily view count surpasses certain thresholds. It uses a standardized method to verify view counts from a consistent geographic location, ensuring fairness and transparency in measurement.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether NBA YoungBoy achieves specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube during the week of September 14–20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different view count benchmark, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. All markets share consistent secondary rules: view counts are sourced from YouTube Charts using a New York IP address to standardize geographic variation, and neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets—references to YouTube are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges on whether, at any point during the specified week, the artist’s global daily views meet or exceed the threshold defined for each individual market.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for NBA YoungBoy’s viewership. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and real-time information, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional polls or expert predictions. If analysts predict a significant surge in engagement due to a new album release or social media campaign, we might see the odds shift accordingly. It’s important to remember that this market reflects what traders believe will happen, not necessarily what analysts expect.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of NBA YoungBoy’s potential viewership. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by NBA YoungBoy across all major video platforms during the period of September 14, 2026, to September 20, 2026. The data will be sourced from publicly available metrics and verified to ensure accuracy, determining whether the artist surpassed the 5 million view threshold.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. A major album release, a viral social media moment, or a high-profile collaboration could all drive up NBA YoungBoy’s viewership. Conversely, negative publicity or a decrease in online engagement could lower it. Any announcements regarding his touring schedule or new content releases would also be closely watched by traders. Shifts in broader music streaming trends or changes to video platform algorithms could also influence the market’s direction, making it a dynamic space to observe.
