TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 5M
- Kalshi
Above 5M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Oct 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist's YouTube views over a specific week. It focuses on whether the artist achieves certain thresholds of global daily views during that period. The outcome depends on the highest view count reached, with different levels representing various success benchmarks.
Kalshi
The event determines whether NBA YoungBoy achieves specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube during the week of October 5–11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count benchmark, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist's global daily views must surpass the respective threshold at any point during the specified week. View counts will be verified using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location filter. All markets are independent, meaning achieving one threshold does not automatically satisfy higher or lower thresholds. The event explicitly states that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event operator.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider. While analysts may focus on specific factors like recent album releases or social media engagement, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially anticipating unexpected surges or declines in viewership. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the highest daily view count for NBA YoungBoy between October 5, 2026, and October 11, 2026. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of potential outcomes. This creates a fluid environment where traders can express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by NBA YoungBoy across all major video platforms during the period of October 5, 2026, to October 11, 2026. The data will be sourced from publicly available metrics and verified to ensure accuracy, determining which outcome in this market will be declared the winner.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major album releases, viral social media moments, collaborations with other artists, or even significant news coverage could all impact NBA YoungBoy’s viewership. Unexpected controversies or positive publicity could also drive substantial changes in the market. Furthermore, shifts in broader music streaming trends or platform algorithms could influence the outcome. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.
