TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 5M
- Kalshi
Above 5M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:15h:24m
$
This event tracks the potential for an artist to attract massive global viewership over a specific week on a popular video platform. It examines whether viewership milestones are met, reflecting audience engagement and content popularity during the defined period.
The event evaluates whether NBA YoungBoy achieves specified global daily view thresholds on YouTube during the period from October 26, 2026, to November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different view count threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist must surpass the respective threshold at any point during the specified timeframe. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. It is noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. Unlike polls or expert opinions, this market reflects the collective judgment of individuals who are putting their capital at risk. This creates a different dynamic, as traders are incentivized to be as accurate as possible. While analysts may offer predictions based on their expertise, this market aggregates a wider range of information and perspectives, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the highest daily view count for NBA YoungBoy between October 26, 2026, and November 1, 2026. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price will be, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market constantly reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the highest daily view count for NBA YoungBoy’s content across major platforms during the specified timeframe (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026) will be determined. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from those platforms, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the results. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any major news regarding NBA YoungBoy, such as new album releases, collaborations, or legal developments, could influence his viewership. Shifts in social media trends or changes to platform algorithms could also impact his content’s reach. Unexpected viral moments or increased media coverage surrounding the artist would likely drive increased interest and potentially higher view counts, causing the market to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential market movements.