TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist's YouTube video views over a specific month. It focuses on whether the artist reaches certain view count thresholds on any single day during that period. The outcome depends on real-time viewer engagement and platform metrics.
Kalshi
The event determines whether NBA YoungBoy achieves specified global daily view count thresholds on YouTube during October 2026. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different view count benchmark (ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist's global daily views must exceed the respective threshold at any point during the month. All markets use view counts displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. While view counts may vary by location, the New York IP standardization provides a uniform measurement approach. It is explicitly noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement between YouTube and the event organizer. The resolution relies on publicly accessible YouTube Charts data, where users can verify the global view counts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time sentiment and diverse perspectives. While analysts might focus on past performance and established trends, the market can quickly adapt to unexpected news or shifts in public interest surrounding NBA YoungBoy. Discrepancies can highlight overlooked variables or differing interpretations of available data, offering a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential daily view counts for NBA YoungBoy. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective prediction. The current market prices are influenced by factors like recent music releases, social media engagement, and overall trends in music consumption. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the highest daily view count for NBA YoungBoy’s official YouTube videos in October 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from YouTube Analytics, ensuring transparency and objectivity. The specific daily view count that is highest during the month will determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to monitor relevant news and data sources as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential impact on the outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. A major new album release from NBA YoungBoy, unexpected collaborations with other artists, or a significant shift in his social media presence could all influence trading activity. Changes in YouTube’s algorithm or policies affecting video visibility could also play a role. Furthermore, any controversies or legal issues involving the artist might impact public interest and, consequently, his view counts. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s pricing.
