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402,751

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic?

Volume:
$1,368,342

Orlando

 - Kalshi

Orlando - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 5:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orlando

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$606,895
N/A
N/A
$342,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$727,503
N/A
N/A
$398,961
Settled
No
polymarket

NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the NBA Summer League game between the Philadelphia 76ers and Orlando Magic. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official NBA Summer League results at nba.com/summer-league. Watch for the scheduled July 15, 2026 matchup at 4:00 PM ET, when the game result will settle all positions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Philadelphia wins OR Orlando wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard binary win-loss resolution.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity issue. Kalshi's market logic is internally contradictory and cannot be settled as currently described. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether the intended logic is Yes/No binary or if there is a drafting error. Avoid trading Kalshi until resolution logic is corrected and confirmed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: Philadelphia 76ers win resolves to 'Philadelphia 76ers', Orlando Magic win resolves to 'Orlando Magic'. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory logic: States both 'If Philadelphia wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Orlando wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates logical impossibility since exactly one team must win, making both conditions mutually exclusive yet both mapped to the same outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 15 at 4:00PM ET: If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia 76ers". If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to "Orlando Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

This market covers the Pro Basketball Summer League game between Orlando and Philadelphia originally scheduled for July 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final result of the game, with each team's market resolving to Yes if that team achieves victory.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the 76ers vs. Magic Summer League matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time trader consensus on the game outcome. Both platforms allow you to buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective probability estimate from active traders. The aggregated view shows you how conviction differs between venues and tracks total trading volume across both platforms, giving you a complete picture of market sentiment heading into the July 15 contest.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price games differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders themselves determine prices through continuous buying and selling. This market-driven approach often reflects sharper, less biased estimates of true probability, especially when informed traders participate actively. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or late-breaking news faster than prediction markets update. Comparing both sources provides a fuller view of where the smart money stands on this matchup.

Key roster moves, player injuries, and preseason performance trends will likely shift trader sentiment before the game tips off. Unexpected trades, free-agent signings, or reports of star players sitting out Summer League action can trigger sharp price moves. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market adjustments, so monitoring those shifts provides an early signal. Team-specific news—coaching changes, offensive scheme adjustments, or player development updates—may also influence how traders assess each side's chances. Close attention to official NBA Summer League announcements and team social media will help you stay ahead of market repricing.