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NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers?

Volume:
$85,360

Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 7:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,196
N/A
N/A
$15,655
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,861
N/A
N/A
$6,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
$487
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 12.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,608
N/A
N/A
$4,857
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,642
N/A
N/A
$2,157
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,579
N/A
N/A
$2,083
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,163
N/A
N/A
$1,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,133
N/A
N/A
$773
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$162
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers the NBA Summer League matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and Indiana Pacers scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers a binary winner-take-all market, while Kalshi provides spread-based markets across multiple point differential thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on binary winner, while Kalshi resolves on point spread thresholds. A single game outcome can produce different resolution states across platforms.Hero tip: Understand which market you are trading. Polymarket is winner-only; Kalshi is margin-based. A Philadelphia victory by 2 points resolves YES on Polymarket but NO on all Kalshi spreads. Conversely, a Philadelphia 10-point win resolves YES on both platforms but for different reasons.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Philadelphia 76ers or Indiana Pacers based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Six spread tiers for Philadelphia (1.5, 3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5 point wins) and three for Indiana (1.5, 3.5, 6.5 point wins). Each spread is independent Yes/No resolution based on final point differential.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 11 at 5:30PM ET: If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to "Philadelphia 76ers". If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

This event contains multiple spread markets tracking the final margin of victory in the Indiana vs Philadelphia game. Markets are divided into two categories: Philadelphia victory spreads (winning by more than 15.5, 12.5, 9.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 1.5 points) and Indiana victory spreads (winning by more than 1.5, 3.5, or 6.5 points). Each market independently resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated margin. The resolution is based on the official final score of the Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026. Markets resolve to No if the margin equals or falls short of the threshold, or if the opposing team wins. These markets allow bettors to express directional predictions about which team will win and by how much.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the 76ers vs. Pacers Summer League matchup, letting traders monitor real-time odds on game outcomes. Both platforms host related contracts tied to this event, though they may frame the question differently—one focusing on the winner, the other on margin of victory. The aggregated view helps you spot consensus and divergence across venues, compare volume of $85,360 in total trading activity, and track how odds shift as tip-off approaches. This cross-platform lens reveals whether professional traders and casual predictors align on the likely result.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on crowd-sourced pricing: traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, and the market price reflects the collective belief in that outcome's probability. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability over time because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricing. For this market, comparing prediction odds to sportsbook spreads can reveal where sharp money disagrees with the public, though prediction markets typically show less vig and faster adjustment to breaking news.

Key catalysts include injury reports, roster announcements, and recent Summer League performance from both squads. If either team rests star players or confirms lineup changes, odds could shift sharply. Public betting trends and sharp money flowing into one side can also trigger repricing as traders react to new information. Media narratives—such as a breakout rookie performance or coaching adjustments—may influence sentiment. Weather, venue factors, and late-breaking news closer to tip-off typically drive the final moves. Monitoring team social media, beat reporters, and live odds across both platforms helps you stay ahead of market-moving developments.