TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Pelicans vs. Suns NBA Summer League game?

Volume:
$654,646

New Orleans

 - Kalshi

New Orleans - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Orleans

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296,633
N/A
N/A
$142,292
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NBA Summer League: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Phoenix

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$322,548
N/A
N/A
$156,548
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NBA Summer League matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and Phoenix Suns scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (New Orleans win and Phoenix win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses a proper categorical structure with distinct outcomes.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The platform has created a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves Yes. Only Polymarket's market is tradeable and resolvable. Escalate this to Kalshi support immediately.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Dual Yes resolution creates logical contradiction. Both New Orleans win and Phoenix win resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Key Quote: If New Orleans wins the game, market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix wins the game, market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Proper categorical resolution with distinct outcomes. New Orleans Pelicans win resolves to New Orleans Pelicans; Phoenix Suns win resolves to Phoenix Suns. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET: If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "New Orleans Pelicans". If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Phoenix vs New Orleans Pro Basketball Summer League game scheduled for July 12, 2026. Resolution occurs when either New Orleans or Phoenix wins the game.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—no house edge. This market's odds may diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because prediction traders often incorporate longer-term context, injury updates, and roster composition that books adjust more slowly. Comparing this market to your preferred sportsbook can reveal mispricing opportunities, especially in Summer League play where public information is less dense.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variation. Kalshi's regulatory framework and user base may emphasize different data signals than Polymarket's, leading to divergent probabilities even on the same event. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but Summer League matchups—with lower overall volume and attention—may sustain temporary spreads longer than major sports events. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify which venue is pricing this matchup more efficiently.

Roster changes, injury announcements, and player availability updates can shift trader sentiment significantly in Summer League markets. Preseason performance by key rotation players, coaching adjustments, or late-breaking lineup news may trigger repricing as new information emerges. Public betting patterns and sharp money flows into either side can also move odds. Since Summer League rosters are fluid and often feature young talent with unpredictable performance, any official team communication about player status or game-day decisions could create volatility in this market before tipoff.