TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Summer League game?

Volume:
$243,673

Over 180.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 180.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 9:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 180.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,256
N/A
N/A
$12,658
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 177.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,115
N/A
N/A
$5,685
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 174.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,012
N/A
N/A
$2,639
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 171.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,740
N/A
N/A
$3,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 168.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,266
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 183.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57,570
N/A
N/A
$20,749
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 186.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,578
N/A
N/A
$18,702
Settled
No
polymarket

NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 192.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,747
N/A
N/A
$10,599
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 189.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,986
N/A
N/A
$7,017
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers an NBA Summer League matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers a binary winner market, while Kalshi offers nine separate over/under markets on combined team scoring at various thresholds (168.5 to 192.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market Type Divergence: Polymarket settles on binary winner outcome, while Kalshi settles on aggregate scoring thresholds. Both reference the same game but measure different dimensions of the event.Hero tip: Treat these as separate trading instruments. Polymarket is a winner-pick market; Kalshi is a scoring volume market. A Timberwolves win does not predict whether combined points exceed any Kalshi threshold. Confirm postponement and cancellation handling with each platform independently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Minnesota Timberwolves or Denver Nuggets based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NBA official final score.
  • Kalshi: Nine separate over/under markets on combined team points (thresholds: 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5, 180.5, 183.5, 186.5, 189.5, 192.5). Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold. No explicit postponement or cancellation protocol stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 11 at 7:30PM ET: If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Timberwolves". If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Denver Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

This event features nine separate over/under markets on the combined point total scored by both teams in the Denver vs Minnesota Summer League game scheduled for July 11, 2026. Each market establishes a distinct point threshold: 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5, 180.5, 183.5, 186.5, 189.5, and 192.5 points. For each threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes if the teams' combined final score exceeds that specific threshold. The resolution is based on the official final score of the game as recorded at the conclusion of regulation play. These tiered thresholds allow bettors to express varying degrees of confidence in the pace and scoring output of the matchup, with lower thresholds representing more conservative scoring predictions and higher thresholds representing more aggressive scoring scenarios.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Summer League matchup. Traders on both platforms are pricing outcomes related to the game's result and total scoring. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each venue is valuing the same event, revealing where consensus is strongest and where divergence exists. Combined volume across both platforms reflects overall market interest in this Summer League contest. You can track real-time odds shifts, historical pricing trends, and the probability distribution that prediction market participants collectively assign to different outcomes.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, often adjusting lines to manage liability rather than reflect true probability. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous pricing—participants buy and sell shares at whatever price they think is fair, creating a crowdsourced probability estimate. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect what thousands of traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Neither is inherently more accurate, but they offer complementary perspectives on how the Summer League matchup may unfold.