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NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA Summer League game?

Volume:
$802,049

Over 150.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 150.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 11:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 150.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114,960
N/A
N/A
$58,772
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 165.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82,024
N/A
N/A
$27,461
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 147.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71,410
N/A
N/A
$25,397
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 162.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,784
N/A
N/A
$17,328
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 153.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,941
N/A
N/A
$23,636
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 168.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,451
N/A
N/A
$22,469
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 156.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,759
N/A
N/A
$22,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 144.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,199
N/A
N/A
$14,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 159.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,729
N/A
N/A
$6,609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 141.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,918
N/A
N/A
$4,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 135.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,207
N/A
N/A
$6,228
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 138.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,652
N/A
N/A
$5,549
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$109,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 177.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,409
N/A
N/A
$29,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 174.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,358
N/A
N/A
$19,063
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 171.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,228
N/A
N/A
$11,130
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 180.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,980
N/A
N/A
$5,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 183.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,565
N/A
N/A
$5,694
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 189.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,257
N/A
N/A
$6,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 186.5 points scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,678
N/A
N/A
$4,257
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group covers an NBA Summer League matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and San Antonio Spurs scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Polymarket offers a binary winner market, while Kalshi offers multiple over/under markets on combined team scoring at various thresholds (165.5 to 189.5 points).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on different settlement values from the same game: Polymarket on game winner (binary), Kalshi on combined scoring thresholds (multiple quantitative outcomes). Both reference the same July 12, 2026 game but measure different aspects of final score.Hero tip: These markets are not redundant—they measure different things. A trader can be right on the winner but wrong on the total, or vice versa. Ensure you understand which market you are trading. For Kalshi totals, note that cancellation/postponement resolution is not explicitly stated; contact Kalshi support to confirm how postponed or canceled games affect total-points markets before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Milwaukee Bucks or San Antonio Spurs based on final score including overtime. If postponed, market stays open until completion. If canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to Milwaukee Bucks.'
  • Kalshi: Nine separate over/under markets on combined team scoring. Each resolves Yes if combined points exceed threshold (165.5 through 189.5 in 3-point increments). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If the teams collectively score more than [X] points in the San Antonio vs Milwaukee Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 12 at 9:00PM ET: If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Milwaukee Bucks". If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to "San Antonio Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the total points scored by both San Antonio and Milwaukee in their Summer League game on July 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with Yes outcomes occurring when the combined team score exceeds that threshold. The thresholds range progressively from 165.5 points to 189.5 points in 3-point increments. Official final game statistics will be used to determine resolution, with all scoring plays counted equally regardless of whether they result from field goals, three-pointers, or free throws.