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NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls NBA Summer League game?

Volume:
$187,551

NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls

 - Polymarket

NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Chicago Bulls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,496
N/A
N/A
$28,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,467
N/A
N/A
$19,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,256
N/A
N/A
$10,086
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 12.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,352
N/A
N/A
$9,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,914
N/A
N/A
$4,278
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
$731
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 18.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,040
N/A
N/A
$585
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,542
N/A
N/A
$1,121
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,474
N/A
N/A
$952
Settled
No
kalshi

Memphis wins by over 15.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,394
N/A
N/A
$1,191
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers an NBA Summer League matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Chicago Bulls scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Polymarket offers a binary winner-take-all market, while Kalshi provides spread-based markets across multiple point differential thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi offer structurally different market types for the same underlying event. Polymarket is a binary winner market; Kalshi provides multiple spread-based markets. While both reference the same game and final score, they settle on different dimensions and cannot be directly compared or arbitraged.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi positions offset each other. Treat them as separate markets with independent risk profiles. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation policy in writing before trading, as Polymarket explicitly resolves 50-50 on full cancellation but Kalshi does not specify this edge case.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to Memphis Grizzlies or Chicago Bulls based on final score including overtime. If postponed, market remains open. If canceled with no make-up, resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to Memphis Grizzlies.'
  • Kalshi: Ten separate spread markets (Memphis: +1.5, +3.5, +6.5, +9.5, +12.5, +15.5, +18.5; Chicago: +1.5, +3.5, +6.5). Each resolves Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated margin. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Memphis wins by more than 1.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Grizzlies". If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final point differential in the Chicago vs Memphis game. For Memphis victories, the market resolves Yes if Memphis wins by more than 1.5, 3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, or 18.5 points. For Chicago victories, the market resolves Yes if Chicago wins by more than 1.5, 3.5, or 6.5 points. Each spread threshold represents a distinct outcome; only the applicable spread(s) matching the actual final margin will resolve to Yes. Games that end in a tie or are postponed/cancelled may have different resolution procedures as specified in secondary rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than traditional sportsbook models, meaning odds reflect live supply and demand from thousands of independent traders rather than a bookmaker's fixed line. This market-driven pricing often converges with sportsbook odds over time, but can diverge significantly in the hours before tip-off as new information emerges. Prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and deeper liquidity on major events, though sportsbooks may offer promotional bonuses that affect effective odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and contract designs, all of which influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket's broader user base and continuous order-book model can produce faster price discovery, while Kalshi's regulated derivatives structure and specific outcome definitions may appeal to institutional traders seeking precise exposure. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and the exact wording of each platform's outcome also create natural price gaps that savvy traders exploit through cross-platform arbitrage.

Key catalysts include roster announcements and injury updates for both teams, preseason performance trends, and any trades or roster moves affecting player availability. Media coverage highlighting standout performers or coaching strategies can shift sentiment quickly. Weather conditions on game day, venue changes, or unexpected lineup decisions announced shortly before tip-off often trigger sharp price moves. Additionally, early Summer League results from other teams and broader NBA narrative shifts—such as draft analysis or free-agent signings—can indirectly influence how traders price this specific matchup.