TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizards
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizards NBA Summer League game?

Volume:
$3,501,498

Utah

 - Kalshi

Utah - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Utah

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,829,048
N/A
N/A
$878,377
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$134,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,538,193
N/A
N/A
$842,983
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an NBA Summer League game between the Chicago Bulls and Washington Wizards. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 81.5% probability for the leading outcome based on official NBA Summer League records. The resolution source is NBA.com's Summer League page. Note that a Resolution Divergence Alert is active on this event group due to platform differences in opponent and date specifications—watch the official NBA Summer League schedule through July 15, 2026, when this event window closes, to confirm which matchup resolves.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Opponent and date mismatch makes these two distinct games. Kalshi covers Chicago vs. Utah on July 13, 2026, while Polymarket covers Chicago vs. Washington on July 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The markets are fundamentally unresolvable as a single unified event group.Hero tip: These are two separate NBA Summer League games with different opponents and scheduled dates. Do not assume cross-platform consistency. Confirm the correct game details (opponent and date) before trading. If you intended to trade on Chicago vs. Washington, use only Polymarket. If you intended Chicago vs. Utah, use only Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market covers Chicago vs. Utah on July 13, 2026. Resolves Yes if either team wins (both outcomes resolve Yes, making this a binary confirmation market rather than a winner-pick market). Key Quote: 'If Utah wins the Chicago vs Utah Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins the Chicago vs Utah Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Market covers Chicago vs. Washington on July 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Resolves to winner name (Chicago Bulls or Washington Wizards). Includes postponement and cancellation rules. Key Quote: 'If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to Chicago Bulls. If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to Washington Wizards.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bulls". If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Washington Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Chicago vs Utah Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for July 13, 2026. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the game.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed-odds bookmaking. Instead of a sportsbook setting a line and taking the other side, traders here directly buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in an outcome. This mechanism often produces sharper, more efficient pricing because traders face real financial incentive to identify mispriced outcomes. Sportsbooks, by contrast, build in margin and manage liability. For this market, comparing prediction odds to your preferred sportsbook's line can reveal value opportunities before the Summer League game tips off.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user demographics, all of which influence how traders price identical events. Kalshi's order-book model and Polymarket's automated market maker design create different liquidity dynamics and slippage profiles. Geographic restrictions, minimum position sizes, and withdrawal policies also vary, meaning traders on one platform may face different constraints than those on the other. These structural differences can cause temporary price gaps, creating arbitrage opportunities for traders active on both venues.

Roster announcements, injury reports, and player availability updates for both squads will likely shift odds as traders reassess Chicago's competitive edge. Preseason performance, coaching decisions, and lineup rotations leading up to the Summer League game can all influence sentiment. Public betting action and sharp money flowing into one side may also trigger momentum. Close to game time, real-time line movement from sportsbooks and other prediction platforms often cascades into this market as traders react to fresh information and consensus shifts.