TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an NBA Summer League game between the Chicago Bulls and Washington Wizards. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 81.5% probability for the leading outcome based on official NBA Summer League records. The resolution source is NBA.com's Summer League page. Note that a Resolution Divergence Alert is active on this event group due to platform differences in opponent and date specifications—watch the official NBA Summer League schedule through July 15, 2026, when this event window closes, to confirm which matchup resolves.
In the upcoming NBA Summer League game, scheduled for July 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bulls". If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Washington Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the Chicago vs Utah Pro Basketball Summer League game originally scheduled for July 13, 2026. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the game.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user demographics, all of which influence how traders price identical events. Kalshi's order-book model and Polymarket's automated market maker design create different liquidity dynamics and slippage profiles. Geographic restrictions, minimum position sizes, and withdrawal policies also vary, meaning traders on one platform may face different constraints than those on the other. These structural differences can cause temporary price gaps, creating arbitrage opportunities for traders active on both venues.
Roster announcements, injury reports, and player availability updates for both squads will likely shift odds as traders reassess Chicago's competitive edge. Preseason performance, coaching decisions, and lineup rotations leading up to the Summer League game can all influence sentiment. Public betting action and sharp money flowing into one side may also trigger momentum. Close to game time, real-time line movement from sportsbooks and other prediction platforms often cascades into this market as traders react to fresh information and consensus shifts.