TOTAL VOLUME:

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
polymarket

Which team will James Harden join next?

Volume:
$1,312,987

Cleveland Cavaliers

 - Polymarket

Cleveland Cavaliers - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 9:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Cleveland Cavaliers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,316
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
Yes
polymarket

Atlanta Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$855,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Memphis Grizzlies

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$376,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Phoenix Suns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,182
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Golden State Warriors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Toronto Raptors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,673
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

San Antonio Spurs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Houston Rockets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Lakers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Miami Heat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Portland Trail Blazers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Boston Celtics

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Detroit Pistons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Sacramento Kings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Washington Wizards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$997
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Orlando Magic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Milwaukee Bucks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$945
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Chicago Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Charlotte Hornets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Utah Jazz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Minnesota Timberwolves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$908
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Philadelphia 76ers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$886
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Indiana Pacers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
polymarket

Denver Nuggets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2d
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks where NBA player James Harden will play during the 2026-27 season. Currently, Polymarket gives a 98.5% probability to James Harden playing for the Cleveland Cavaliers, and a 0.9% probability to him playing for the Toronto Raptors. The market resolves based on the next team James Harden officially joins, as determined by official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team, with a final resolution date of October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Keep an eye on any official team announcements leading up to that date, as an official signing announcement will immediately resolve this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the James Harden free agency market displays real-time odds on where the star guard will sign for the 2026–27 season. Traders continuously update prices as new information emerges, reflecting the collective forecast of the prediction market. The interface shows current implied probabilities for each potential destination, 24-hour trading volume of $4,756, and historical price movements. This live data helps you monitor shifting sentiment around Harden's next team throughout the offseason, from free agency announcements through contract signings.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve distinct purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—there is no house edge. On this market, odds adjust continuously as new rumors, team cap situations, and player statements surface. Sportsbooks may lag behind or diverge based on liability management. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd on Polymarket sees Harden's destination differently than professional oddsmakers, offering insight into where informed traders place their conviction.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each potential outcome—in this case, each NBA team Harden might join. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects its implied probability; if Cleveland Cavaliers shares trade at a high price, it signals strong trader confidence in that outcome. Volume and liquidity vary by outcome, so less-favored destinations may have wider bid-ask spreads. As new developments break, traders rapidly reprrice shares, creating the dynamic odds you see on the dashboard throughout the offseason.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, after the 2026–27 NBA season begins and Harden's team assignment is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources—official league announcements, team rosters, and verified reporting. Once Harden signs with a franchise or the deadline passes, the winning outcome is locked in and traders are paid according to their positions. Until then, this market remains active and reprices as free agency unfolds.

Major catalysts include team salary-cap announcements, coaching hires or changes, trades involving other star players, and direct statements from Harden or his representatives. Injuries to key roster players, playoff performance, and front-office leadership changes can reshape team attractiveness. Media reports linking Harden to specific franchises often trigger sharp repricing. Contract extensions or non-extensions of current teammates signal roster direction. Playoff outcomes and draft results also influence which teams have cap space and championship ambitions, shifting trader conviction about where Harden lands.