TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NBA Finals: Total 3PM Leader
kalshi
polymarket

NBA Finals: Total 3PM Leader

Volume:
$159,006

OG Anunoby

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 12:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

OG Anunoby

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,028
N/A
N/A
$7,101
Settled
Yes
polymarket

OG Anunoby

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
13.8¢
N/A
$2,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Champagnie

View
39%
Yes 39¢No 61¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Landry Shamet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,461
N/A
N/A
$22,929
Settled
No
polymarket

Landry Shamet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Brunson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,694
N/A
N/A
$16,212
Settled
No
polymarket

Jalen Brunson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Julian Champagnie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,055
N/A
N/A
$13,039
Settled
No
polymarket

Julian Champagnie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Miles McBride

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,926
N/A
N/A
$9,795
Settled
No
polymarket

Miles McBride

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Hart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,491
N/A
N/A
$7,487
Settled
No
polymarket

Josh Hart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karl-Anthony Towns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,993
N/A
N/A
$6,737
Settled
No
polymarket

Karl-Anthony Towns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mikal Bridges

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,739
N/A
N/A
$6,483
Settled
No
polymarket

Mikal Bridges

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Devin Vassell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,096
N/A
N/A
$4,762
Settled
No
polymarket

Devin Vassell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dylan Harper

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,622
N/A
N/A
$5,622
Settled
No
polymarket

Dylan Harper

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stephon Castle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,529
N/A
N/A
$3,529
Settled
No
polymarket

Stephon Castle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Victor Wembanyama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,433
N/A
N/A
$1,827
Settled
No
polymarket

Victor Wembanyama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NBA Finals with the most total 3-pointers made. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the highest three point percentage during the 2026 NBA Finals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the most 3-pointers made in a single game of the 2026 NBA Finals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Finals concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NBA Finals is cancelled, postponed after July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had the most total 3 pointers made within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the same outcome (most 3PM in 2026 NBA Finals, New York vs San Antonio series) using official NBA statistics, with Polymarket providing detailed tiebreaker methodology that Kalshi implicitly assumes.Primary resolution logic: Official NBA statistics and records for completed games in the 2026 NBA Finals

Core resolution logic:

  • Determine which player records the highest total made three-pointers across all completed games in the 2026 NBA Finals series
  • The Finals must be between New York and San Antonio in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
  • Count only three-pointers actually made during the Finals series
  • If series is shortened or truncated, use statistics from completed games only

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie in total 3PM: Apply tiebreakers in order: (1) highest three-point percentage during Finals, (2) most 3PM in a single game, (3) alphabetical order by last name
  • Series cancellation or postponement: If cancelled or postponed after July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi markets remain unresolved pending clarification
  • Incomplete Finals: If Finals concludes early or is truncated, resolution uses only statistics from completed games
  • Player not in Finals: If a listed player does not participate in the Finals series, they cannot win; markets on that player resolve to No
  • Consensus vs official discrepancy: Polymarket permits credible reporting consensus if official NBA data is unavailable; Kalshi assumes official NBA data availability
Timing: Resolution occurs after the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Finals series between New York and San Antonio, using final official NBA statistics. Deadline for resolution is July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; events after this date trigger 'Other' resolution on Polymarket.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 NBA Finals with the most total 3-pointers made. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the highest three point percentage during the 2026 NBA Finals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with the most 3-pointers made in a single game of the 2026 NBA Finals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Finals concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NBA Finals is cancelled, postponed after July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had the most total 3 pointers made within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on total made three-pointers accumulated throughout the series. If a player does not participate in any game, the market resolves to fair market value. When multiple players tie for the most made three-pointers, Yes positions pay $1/N (rounded down to nearest cent) where N equals the number of tied participants, and No positions pay the remainder.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds across Polymarket and Kalshi for the NBA Finals 3-pointer leader market. It tracks which player will record the most made three-pointers across the entire Finals series. The dashboard displays live consensus probabilities, trading volume, and outcome spreads to help you monitor how prediction markets are pricing this event. By comparing both platforms side by side, you gain visibility into market agreement and identify where sharp traders are positioning themselves as the Finals approach.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often price player props differently than traditional sportsbooks because they rely on crowd wisdom and continuous trading rather than fixed lines. Sportsbooks build in juice and manage liability; prediction markets reflect real-time belief. For NBA Finals 3PM leader markets, prediction markets may react faster to injury news, lineup changes, or playoff momentum shifts. Comparing both reveals whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on specific players and can highlight value opportunities before sportsbooks adjust.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price the same outcome differently due to distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader profiles—some favor one venue for regulatory or UX reasons—creating temporary mispricings. Volume concentration on one platform can amplify price swings. Additionally, different outcome phrasings (e.g., specific player names vs. broader criteria) can lead to subtle interpretation gaps. Monitoring both spreads helps you spot arbitrage or identify where informed traders are clustering their capital.

Key catalysts include playoff injuries or roster changes affecting Finals contenders, team seeding shifts that alter Finals matchups, and individual player performance trends in earlier playoff rounds. Pre-Finals shooting slumps or hot streaks can reshape market odds significantly. Coaching adjustments, defensive schemes targeting high-volume three-point shooters, and player load management decisions also influence expectations. Breaking news on player health, trades, or lineup rotations typically triggers sharp repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi. Monitor team announcements and injury reports closely as the Finals draw near.