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NBA: 2026-27 Efficiency (EFF) Leader
polymarket

Who will lead the NBA in efficiency?

Oct 13, 2026, 11:54 AM EST - Apr 25, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,229
Volume 24h:
$200N/A
Liquidity:
$52,834
29%
Open interest:
$99N/A

Nikola Jokic

 - Polymarket

Nikola Jokic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Apr 25, 2027

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?

22%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 22.6¢ buys you 442 shares | Odds: 22% Total Payout: $442 | Net Profit: $342 Multiplier: 4.42x | ROI: 342% High Projected APY: 1,811% 183 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nikola Jokic

Trade
22%
Yes 22.6¢No 77.9¢
0.5¢
$1,286
$87
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Victor Wembanyama

Trade
16%
4%
Yes 16.8¢No 84.6¢
1.4¢
$903
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Luka Doncic

Trade
8%
17%
Yes 9.1¢No 93.8¢
2.9¢
$520
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

OG Anunoby

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.8¢
9.7¢
$539
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Norman Powell

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.8¢
9.7¢
$542
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$528
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Jarrett Allen

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$539
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Deni Avdija

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$527
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Deandre Ayton

Trade
5%
8%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$545
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Paolo Banchero

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$529
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Desmond Bane

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$530
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Saddiq Bey

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$538
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Devin Booker

Trade
5%
8%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$556
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Jaylen Brown

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$536
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Stephon Castle

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$546
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Donovan Clingan

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$554
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Stephen Curry

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$492
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Dyson Daniels

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$530
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Anthony Davis

Trade
5%
8%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$542
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Tyler Herro

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$529
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Chet Holmgren

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$537
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Walker Kessler

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$534
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Brandon Miller

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$537
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Neemias Queta

Trade
5%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$535
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
polymarket

Amen Thompson

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.9¢
9.8¢
$530
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
6mo 3d
active
Total markets: 25 of 100

Description

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Efficiency (EFF) is the NBA's box-score efficiency statistic: (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) minus (missed field goals + missed free throws + turnovers), averaged per game as published on NBA.com/stats. To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined. In the event of a tie for the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher total efficiency (EFF) across all games played during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NBA regular season with the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average among qualified players. If the leader is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". Efficiency (EFF) is the NBA's box-score efficiency statistic: (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks) minus (missed field goals + missed free throws + turnovers), averaged per game as published on NBA.com/stats. To qualify, a player must meet the NBA's minimum requirements for its official 2026-27 regular-season per-game leaderboard (a player who appears in at least 58 regular-season games qualifies), applied exactly as reflected on NBA.com/stats. Only 2026-27 NBA regular-season games count. NBA Cup group-play and knockout games other than the NBA Cup Championship game are regular-season games and count. Statistics from the preseason, the NBA Cup Championship game, the Play-In Tournament, the playoffs and the All-Star Game are excluded. If a player plays for more than one team during the season, his statistics from all teams are combined. In the event of a tie for the highest efficiency (EFF) per game average, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher total efficiency (EFF) across all games played during the 2026-27 NBA regular season. If a tie still persists, each tied player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026-27 NBA regular season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NBA statistics for completed games, with leaderboard qualification applied as the NBA applies it to the shortened season. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game within that timeframe, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including NBA.com/stats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as player performance and injury reports – the odds on Polymarket may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, particularly as the event approaches and more information is incorporated into the price.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a player’s likelihood of leading the NBA in efficiency. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange shares, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of all participants. Higher demand for shares in a particular player will drive up their price, indicating increased confidence in their chances of becoming the efficiency leader.

This market resolves around Apr 26, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the NBA efficiency leader is verified against credible public sources. The player with the highest regular season Player Efficiency Rating (PER) as officially calculated by NBA.com will be considered the winner. The PER statistic takes into account a wide range of a player’s statistical accomplishments, providing a comprehensive measure of their per-minute productivity. The resolution will be based on the official NBA statistics available after the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries are a major catalyst, as the absence of key contenders would shift probabilities. Strong or poor performance early in the season will also influence trader sentiment, potentially causing price fluctuations. Significant trades involving star players could reshape the landscape and alter the odds. Unexpected rule changes or shifts in coaching strategies could also play a role. Any news related to player health, performance, or team dynamics has the potential to move this market before it resolves.