TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Nazaria Sergiu and Uzun Nicolai in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for July 24 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazaria Sergiu' if Nazaria Sergiu wins against Uzun Nicolai. This market will resolve to 'Uzun Nicolai' if Uzun Nicolai wins against Nazaria Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Nazaria Sergiu and Uzun Nicolai in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for July 24 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazaria Sergiu' if Nazaria Sergiu wins against Uzun Nicolai. This market will resolve to 'Uzun Nicolai' if Uzun Nicolai wins against Nazaria Sergiu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjust for sharp money, traders on Polymarket set prices based purely on their expectations for the fight’s outcome. This can lead to notable differences, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares of each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the most recent trading activity and liquidity available for each option. As bets are placed, the odds adjust dynamically based on supply and demand, offering a real-time barometer of collective trader confidence.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official declaration of the winner following the bout, and the market will close accordingly. Traders should ensure they are aware of the timing so they can plan around potential last-minute shifts in odds.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key factors include pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and betting trends. Any change in fighter momentum, strategic adjustments, or shifts in public perception may cause odds to fluctuate. Traders will watch these developments closely as they could significantly impact the probability distribution on Polymarket.