TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Nazareth and Maccabi Bney Reine, focusing on determining whether Nazareth wins, Maccabi Bney Reine wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time.
The event determines the result of the Nazareth vs Maccabi Bney Reine professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for September 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Nazareth win, Maccabi Bney Reine win, or a tie. If the game concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges that impacts the perception of each team's chances.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current odds for each outcome. The top outcome’s chance is represented by the inverse of its current price, reflecting the collective assessment of participants. Market depth and recent trades influence fluctuations, allowing rapid adjustments as news, injuries, or performance updates surface.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market settles based on that verified data. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond confirming the final score or result from trusted sports news and official league records.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting tournament conditions can all impact this market. Additionally, early match performance, weather conditions on game day, and even pre-match media coverage may cause traders to reassess probabilities. Any new information that alters the perceived balance between the teams is likely to generate movement in pricing as participants react to the updated outlook.