TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in a college football game between Navy and Florida Atlantic. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Navy and Florida Atlantic in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold, ranging from over 37.5 points to over 79.5 points. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular points total is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts representing that outcome will decrease, indicating higher probability. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total points for the Navy vs Florida Atlantic game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day approaches. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the most likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Navy vs Florida Atlantic football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The official game statistics will serve as the definitive source for the total points scored, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Navy or Florida Atlantic would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence how traders price contracts, leading to fluctuations in the market.