TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether Florida Atlantic, Navy, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result will still be based on the actual game outcome. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The event is unaffiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, they can buy or sell contracts, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to differences in implied probabilities between this market and those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a one-unit payout if the corresponding outcome occurs. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific team to score first, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Navy vs Florida Atlantic game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine the winning outcome. The contracts will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Navy or Florida Atlantic would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also shift the market. Additionally, significant betting action in traditional sportsbooks, or even public sentiment expressed on social media, could influence traders’ beliefs and impact the price of contracts in this market.