TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Navy and Florida Atlantic. Outcomes depend on which team leads by a specific margin at halftime, with varying thresholds for victory.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Navy vs Florida Atlantic college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official halftime result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual first-half spread will fall on the corresponding side of the spread. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's trading activity, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first-half spread of the Navy vs Florida Atlantic football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct side of the spread will settle at 100, while those predicting the incorrect side will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics reported by a trusted source for college football scores.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Navy or Florida Atlantic teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions that could affect the scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from sports experts or unexpected shifts in public betting sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.