TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 1:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the third map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two esports teams. The result depends solely on which team secures victory in that specific map during the competition. Outcomes are determined by official match results, with specific guidelines for handling postponements or cancellations.
The event resolves based on which team wins the third map in the specified LEC 2026 League of Legends match between Natus Vincere and GIANTX, scheduled for September 11, 2026. If Natus Vincere wins map 3, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if GIANTX wins map 3, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or specific map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the League or its entities, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, whereas this market allows anyone to participate and express their view. However, it’s important to note that discrepancies can exist due to differing information access and risk appetites. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from the implied probability in this market, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of an outcome. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading in this market. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic and responsive price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the Natus Vincere versus GIANTX CS2 match. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team form, player health, or strategic changes could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this event could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the early stages of the match itself will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Major upsets or dominant performances by either team could lead to substantial movements in this market as traders react to the unfolding events.