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National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils
polymarket
limitless

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

Volume:
$3,592,196

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

 - Polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 5:35 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,471,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 Winner

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.6¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market tracks whether the Rafael Jodar versus Arthur Fils match at the National Bank Open will go over or under 21.5 games, with the aggregated consensus currently at 100.0% favoring the over. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Limitless, with resolution governed by the Official ATP Tour. The outcome will be confirmed by the match's conclusion on August 18, 2026, marking the end of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both markets share consistent resolution logic for winner determination and match completion status, using ATP Tour as primary sourcePrimary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to the advancing player if the match concludes with a winner, including cases of retirement, default, or disqualification
  • Resolve to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or walkovers
  • Completion market resolves to "Yes" only if all games/sets are played to completion through normal play
  • Completion market resolves to "No" for any forfeit, retirement, cancellation, or delay beyond 7 days

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Retirement During Match: Resolves to the advancing player for winner markets; resolves to "No" for completion market
  • Walkover: Resolves to 50-50 for winner markets; resolves to "No" for completion market
  • Match Delayed Beyond 7 Days: Resolves to 50-50 for winner markets; resolves to "No" for completion market
Timing: Resolution occurs after official ATP Tour confirmation, with credible reporting used if official data is delayed beyond 2 hours post-eventOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Brandon Nakashima in the ATP Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the National Bank Open tennis match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It tracks total volume of $3,592,196 and 24-hour volume of $3,241,108, offering a consensus view of market sentiment across venues. This centralized view helps users monitor shifts in probability as the event approaches, reflecting the collective wisdom of participants on each platform.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, often showing sharper or more volatile lines than traditional sportsbook odds. Prediction markets can price in real-time news and depth of information faster than sportsbooks, which may lag due to manual adjustments or broader market constraints. The gap between the two can also be influenced by liquidity differences; prediction markets with volume of $3,592,196 may react more nimbly to new data than larger, slower sportsbook operations. Additionally, prediction markets sometimes incorporate niche insights or betting angles that sportsbooks overlook, leading to divergent implied probabilities.

Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift probabilities in this market as the event nears. Media interviews, betting trends on traditional sportsbooks, and momentum changes during early match play often influence trader behavior. Any surprise developments — such as a star player’s abrupt exit — may cause rapid re-pricing, so monitoring news feeds and live commentary is key to anticipating moves.