TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek at the National Bank Open will have 21.5 or fewer games. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome is 100.0%, drawn from Limitless and Polymarket, and will resolve using official WTA Tour statistics and event records. Watch for the match conclusion on August 16, 2026, which will determine the final settlement.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek in the WTA Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate expert analysis and may include adjustments for betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their own research. The resulting prices can therefore show different implied probabilities, especially when recent form or surprise factors influence trader behavior. Comparing both can reveal where public sentiment diverges from institutional forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where liquidity and trader sentiment shape odds. On Limitless, the market may reflect different liquidity conditions or user bases. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For the Kostyuk vs Swiatek match market, factors like recent form, head-to-head history, and betting trends can cause divergence. When one platform has deeper liquidity, its prices often stabilize closer to broader market consensus, while thinner markets might show wider swings based on smaller trades. This dynamic is normal across prediction platforms and helps highlight where trader confidence lies ahead of the match.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market significantly. Strong pre-match practice performances, betting volume spikes, or commentary from coaches and analysts may also sway trader sentiment. As the match nears, any update that changes the perceived advantage between competitors can cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting evolving expectations among participants on each platform.