TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 11, 2026
Closed: Aug 11, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the combined games in the National Bank Open match between Luciano Darderi and Brandon Nakashima will exceed 23.5 games on Polymarket, using ATP Tour official match results as the resolution source. The current probability for exceeding 23.5 games stands at 100%. The match is scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the market will resolve based on the official result posted on the ATP Tour website by August 18, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect the collective wisdom of participating traders, who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the outcome. These odds can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and may incorporate different data sources or adjustments. Traders often monitor both to identify potential value differences or shifts in public sentiment leading up to Aug 18, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match will be the official result used to determine the final settlement, based on authoritative sports news sources and tournament records.
Key signals include player injuries, changes in form or ranking, weather conditions on match day, and any last-minute tournament updates. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting trends on Polymarket can also influence trader behavior. As Aug 18, 2026 approaches, any news affecting either competitor’s readiness or performance potential may cause rapid shifts in this market’s odds.