TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Frances Tiafoe will advance against Marin Cilic in the National Bank Open tennis match. On Polymarket, the current probability for Frances Tiafoe to win is 100%. The outcome will be resolved based on official results from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00PM ET, remains the key catalyst to watch for resolution, with the market set to resolve on August 11, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Marin Cilic in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. No further trading will be allowed once the match ends, and the final odds will settle based on the confirmed winner. Timing aligns with the official tournament schedule, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including player injuries, recent form, weather conditions, and any last-minute changes to the match schedule. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting trends on Polymarket may also influence trader sentiment. As the event draws closer, any update regarding player readiness or court conditions could cause rapid price movements. Monitoring news feeds and trading volume will help identify potential catalysts affecting odds.