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National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien
polymarket
limitless

Who will win Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien?

Volume:
$473,852

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5

 - Polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 9:27 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$451,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien: 22 or more total games?

View
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This event group covers betting markets for the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien at the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026. Markets include match winner, total games, set winners, and various game total thresholds across sets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across platforms share identical resolution logic based on ATP statistics with consistent handling of incomplete matches and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the player who advances, with 50-50 for cancellations, walkovers, or incomplete matches
  • Total games markets count all completed games including tiebreaks as one game each
  • Set-specific markets resolve based on completed sets only, with 50-50 if the set isn't completed
  • Any match not completed after beginning resolves all markets 50-50
  • Matches canceled before play or delayed beyond 7 days resolve all markets 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Walkover/Retirement: If one player advances due to opponent's retirement before completion, match winner resolves to advancing player, but total games markets resolve 50-50 since match wasn't completed
  • Super Tiebreak: Counts as one set for set total markets and one game for game total markets
Timing: Resolution occurs once ATP publishes official match statistics, typically within 2 hours of match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien in the ATP Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the National Bank Open tennis match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $473,852 and 24-hour volume of $463,685, letting you see where consensus lies across venues. This centralized view helps you compare sentiment and spot shifts as the tournament progresses, all without needing to check each book individually.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment rather than set odds from bookmakers. The decentralized nature of platforms like Polymarket and Limitless allows prices to shift rapidly based on new information, such as player form or weather updates. This can create sharper or more volatile lines compared to sportsbooks, which may smooth outcomes to manage risk.